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Hey, let’s verify in on the year-to-date manufacturing of the consensus first-round picks in fantasy soccer drafts …
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Christian McCaffrey, IR, most likely a doomed choose, more likely to miss six weeks or extra. Gah.
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Tyreek Hill, WR17, nonetheless nice, however his quarterback is injured with no timeline to return.
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CeeDee Lamb, WR16, this man’s workforce simply obtained stomped by the Saints, however we’re in any other case feeling OK.
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Breece Corridor, RB6, he picked up precisely the place he left off final season, although he could have a slight Braelon Allen drawback. Good draft selection.
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Bijan Robinson, RB16, his workforce has its flaws and his QB is just a little creaky, however he appears nice. Good choose. Sooner or later, a landing could be appreciated.
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Ja’Marr Chase, WR41, he’s been focused 11 occasions in two video games and his most impactful play was getting flagged for a 15-yard private foul.
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Justin Jefferson, WR4, every part was going so nicely till he suffered a quad damage on Sunday.
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Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR27, he’s had one nice recreation and one catastrophe recreation, and is now coping with a leg damage of an unspecified nature.
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Jonathan Taylor, RB23, operating nicely however his QB is the goal-line again and the workforce isn’t focused on throwing to him.
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A.J. Brown, WR32, injured his hamstring in observe final week, wasn’t accessible on Monday evening and he is more likely to miss Week 3.
*GASP*
That’s a minefield. Only a genuinely horrible first spherical. Just one participant with an ADP in top-10 is at present among the many top-five scorers at his place, and that man is coping with an damage. Yikes.
Drafters can really feel legitimately good about CeeDee Lamb, Breece Corridor and Bijan Robinson — who appears like the very best participant on the sector each time he performs — and we should always contemplate Ja’Marr Chase to be a screaming buy-low. Additionally, if Justin Jefferson has truly averted severe damage, he’s a winner, too.
However the remainder of that spherical is, um … woof. It’s tough.
In fact, in a season with out a clear golden-ticket first rounder, we’re all in a barely completely different model of the identical raggedy boat. It would simply imply 2024 is organising as a season dominated by sleepers and sneaky waiver gems. If that’s the case, it’s gonna be an enormous yr for the really obsessive hardcore gamers amongst us.
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Now, let’s talk about what’s working…
Every fantasy season is, in its personal method, bizarre and wild and with out precedent. We now discover ourselves in a yr wherein there have been no clear proper solutions within the first spherical, which isn’t sometimes how issues work. Even with the chaos, we have to play the hand we’re dealt.
Let’s check out the surprising names at present on the prime of the scoring leaderboard on the huge three positions, together with one quantity that explains and underpins their success:
QB1, Baker Mayfield: 73.5 completion proportion — Baker has merely been dealing. He opened the season with a 24-of-30 efficiency in opposition to Washington, then adopted with a 12-of-19 effort at Detroit, a recreation wherein he was persistently harassed. By means of two video games, that is the very best model of Mayfield we now have but seen. He’s by no means accomplished 65% of his makes an attempt in any season, however he can’t miss today.
Completion proportion doesn’t inform the complete story of a QB’s accuracy, after all. Right here’s one other stat that helps inform the story of Mayfield’s first two video games: 7.7 yards after catch per completion. When a quarterback is upper-tier correct with their ball placement, YAC usually follows. Mayfield is at present beating his earlier single-season finest in YAC per completion by two full yards. He’s been legitimately terrific.
RB1, Alvin Kamara: 6 rush makes an attempt contained in the 10-yard line — Kamara at present leads the NFL in touchdowns (5), 4 of which have been scored from inside 12 yards. He’s tied for the league lead in carries contained in the 10-yard line and he’s second in carries contained in the 5 (4). Taysom Hill, it must be famous, has not but obtained a carry wherever within the purple zone. For the primary time in without end, the Saints are merely feeding the workforce’s finest ball-carrier in goal-to-go conditions, and — shock! — it’s working spectacularly.
WR1, Chris Godwin: 58.2 slot proportion — Godwin truly ran 78.3% of his routes from the slot at Detroit in keeping with PFF, and it was clearly a successful method. In his finest seasons, he operated as Tampa Bay’s major slot receiver, however he was bumped out extensive final yr and completed as the general WR33. It’s no coincidence that he’s discovering success once more in a well-known function. Additionally, the Bucs have emphatically demonstrated that slot routes don’t essentially must be short-range chain-movers — huge performs are potential.
