32 Fantasy Stats for Week 3: Marvin Harrison Jr. erupts

Arizona Cardinals

Marvin Harrison Jr. hit 20 MPH on his second landing catch of Week 2

Harrison Jr. posted a 4/130/2 receiving line with two lengthy scores versus the Rams.

MHJ has risen one week after the non-ball-knowers pronounced him a bust as a result of he clocked a gradual GPS time.

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Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons have a -9.2 % move price over anticipated

To be truthful to Atlanta, that’s not even within the backside 5 due to how typically offenses are leaning on the run this yr. The Falcons are seemingly utilizing their floor sport, which ranks twelfth in yards per carry and thirteenth in success price, to ease Kirk Cousins again into soccer. Cousins struggled in his first sport again from the torn Achilles however performed higher in Week 2. I anticipate the Falcons to ramp up his quantity within the coming weeks, although our pre-season expectations for his or her move price had been nearly actually too excessive.

Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson’s deep throws price of 10.7 % is his lowest since his rookie season

Even worse, Jackson is 1-of-8 on his deep makes an attempt. The Ravens wager on Rashod Bateman to take the following step and fill a task as Jackson’s deep menace and that hasn’t occurred. They’re now caught funneling targets to Zay Flowers, who has double-digit targets in each video games to this point.

Buffalo Payments

The Payments rank twenty seventh in move price on early downs

That is regardless of being a top-three offense when passing on early downs and simply the No. 11 operating again on early downs. They’ve a unfavorable 5 % move price over anticipated (PROE). That has powered James Cook dinner to 149 speeding yards and two scores on the bottom. The Jags don’t appear to be they’ll push Buffalo to move extra in Week 3, so anticipate one other heavy dose of Cook dinner this week.

Carolina Panthers

Over the previous two years, Andy Dalton ranks twenty second in EPA per play and twenty fourth in CPOE

That’s out of 39 quarterbacks with a minimum of 500 dropbacks. Bryce Younger ranks thirty ninth and thirty seventh within the two stats. Dalton isn’t going to avoid wasting this franchise, however he’s going to avoid wasting fantasy managers who invested in Diontae Johnson, Adam Thielen, and Xavier Legette.

Chicago Bears

Caleb Williams is averaging 2.8 yards per try on pressured throws

That ranks final amongst quarterbacks with a minimum of 10 pressured throws. Even worse, his stress to sack price is the second-highest within the NFL and he has been pressured the fourth-most occasions. Williams isn’t dealing with stress properly and his staff is exacerbating the difficulty by placing him in that spot far too typically.

Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown doesn’t have a carry contained in the 5 this yr and has run a route on 24 % of Joe Burrow’s dropbacks

Brown is hardly even seeing change-of-pace utilization for the Bengals, not to mention forcing a real committee. Zack Moss has out-carried him 21-7 and upped his snap share to 82 % in Week 2. Brown is buried within the RB4/5 ranks till his function grows considerably.

Cleveland Browns

The Browns rank fourth within the NFL in PROE (+2.7 %) and fifth in tempo (25.2 seconds per play)

Cleveland has run the seventh-most performs on offense. They led the NFL in performs per sport final yr. This hasn’t mattered a lot as a result of they rank twenty eighth in EPA per dropback and are a barely below-average staff on the bottom. If Deshaun Watson ever turns issues round or the Browns transition to Jameis Winston, this can be a enjoyable offense.

Dallas Cowboys

Jalen Tolbert led the Cowboys in targets (9) and air yards (104)

Tolbert is operating because the Cowboys’ WR3 proper now. Brandin Cooks is forward of him on the depth charts however is off to a different dreadful begin within the spreadsheets, averaging a dismal .9 yards per route run. It wouldn’t be shocking to see Tolbert overtake him later within the yr.

Denver Broncos

Greg Dulcich earned a 25 % goal share in Week 2

Dulcich has run a route on 68 % of Bo Nix’s dropbacks by way of two video games. That’s not an excellent quantity, however it will put him within the TE2 dialog if the Broncos might do something on offense. Sadly, they can’t.

Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown noticed 18 targets…and Jameson Williams nonetheless noticed 11

Williams broke out with 121 receiving yards and a landing in Week 1. St. Brown was quiet in that sport, giving the Williams doubters a minimum of one cause to assume his lofty workload wouldn’t final. His goal share fell in Week 2 however stayed above 20 %. He additionally noticed 36 % of the staff’s air yards. Even with St. Brown getting his, Williams is right here to remain.

Inexperienced Bay Packers

Josh Jacobs noticed probably the most carries for a Inexperienced Bay again since 2008.

With Jordan Love out, the Packers put their offense on Jacobs’ again, giving him the rock 32 occasions. The final time a Inexperienced Bay again noticed that many makes an attempt was when Ryan Grant ran 33 occasions in Week 6 of the 2008 season. MarShawn Lloyd was placed on injured reserve to assist him get well from a lingering hamstring difficulty after Week 2. Jacobs’ workload goes to be insane till Love returns and can stay robust at the same time as Inexperienced Bay shifts again towards the move.

Houston Texans

Tank Dell ran a route on 85 % of C.J. Stroud’s dropbacks

Nico Collins took over in Week 2, however Dell was on the market simply as typically as Stefon Diggs. Collins has cemented himself because the clear No. 1 receiver of the group. Nonetheless, Dell is operating the entire routes on an elite passing assault and is a proficient participant in his personal proper. Maintain the religion. The large video games are coming.

Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor logged a 49 % snap share.

Taylor dropped a move and fumbled a reception out of bounds on his 4 targets in Week 2. The fumble got here close to the tip of the third quarter. Taylor didn’t log a snap within the fourth quarter. The Colts had been in hurry-up mode within the ultimate body and solely ran the ball with a operating again twice, however Taylor was both benched outright or has no belief in pass-protection from his coaches.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Brenton Unusual has probably the most air yards in a sport (119) for a good finish this yr

Unusual took over the beginning job in Jacksonville final week after Evan Engram suffered a hamstring damage in pre-game warmups. Unusual led the staff in targets (9) and had an absurd aDOT of 17 yards. That may come again to Earth, however the athletic, second-round tight finish seems to have some juice.

Kansas Metropolis Chiefs

Travis Kelce has been focused on 13 % of his routes

For reference, that determine was 23 % final yr and 25 % in 2022. His first-read goal share has additionally plummeted. Patrick Mahomes has seemed his approach on 18 % of his first-read throws. That was 23 % final yr. Kelce dominated within the playoffs final season, exhibiting he can nonetheless activate the magic when wanted, however the Chiefs are seemingly content material decreasing his workload till January.

Las Vegas Raiders

Brock Bowers has probably the most receptions (15) and yards (156) for a good finish of their first two video games ever

Bowers is three catches away from the No. 2 participant and likewise holds the very best goal whole in a good finish’s first two video games. He and Trey McBride are in a two-horse race for the TE1 total crown this yr. Bowers is my dynasty TE1 already.

Los Angeles Chargers

Quentin Johnston is averaging 2.1 yards per route run

He ranks prime 25 in yards per route run and PFF receiving grade. Johnston additionally leads the Chargers in all receiving stats with an 8/89/2 line on 11 targets. Regardless of a disastrous rookie season, Johnston has genuinely turned issues round to begin his second marketing campaign.

Los Angeles Rams

Demarcus Robinson has run a route on 90 % of the Rams’ passing performs this yr

That may method one hundred pc going ahead. Cooper Kupp performed one half of soccer in Week 2 earlier than an ankle damage knocked him out. He wasn’t placed on injured reserve however remains to be anticipated to overlook a number of weeks. Puka Nacua, alternatively, is on IR. Robinson can be joined by Tyler Johnson for many of LA’s passing performs. Johnson’s route price hit 78 % in Week 2. The Rams don’t have a transparent WR3 for the time being, however Jordan Whittington seems to have the within monitor. He was on the sphere for 10-of-11 dropbacks for Matthew Stafford within the second half.

Miami Dolphins

De’Von Achane beat his earlier career-high in touches by seven

Achane touched the ball 29 occasions in Week 2, together with seven receptions. He leads all operating backs in targets and receptions. Raheem Mostert was out, however Mike McDaniel clearly is aware of what to do when his again is in opposition to the wall.

Minnesota Vikings

Ty Chandler out-carried Aaron Jones 10-9

Jones noticed a a lot bigger share of Minnesota’s backfield work in Week 1 and out-carried Chandler 14-8. That dynamic flipped final week and could also be associated to the hip damage that Jones is now coping with. The previous Packer was limtied in Wednesday’s follow and needs to be good to go for Week 3. However he’s additionally a “former Packer” a minimum of partly due to his incapability to remain wholesome. It will make loads of sense for the Vikings to restrict his workload through a wholesome dose of Chandler carries going ahead.

New England Patriots

Hunter Henry led all tight ends in goal share (30 %) and air yards share (31 %)

I don’t have a lot so as to add to this as a result of the numbers inform the entire story. Jacoby Brissett is leaning on Henry as his prime pass-catcher. Henry caught eight passes for 109 yards in Week 2 and is shaping as much as be a low-end TE1 going ahead.

New Orleans Saints

Chris Olave earned PFF’s highest receiving grade in Week 2

PFF gave Olave a 91.3 grade, the very best of his profession. He additionally dominated the Saints’ alternatives. Derek Carr seemed his approach on 40 % of his makes an attempt. Olave earned 56 % of the staff’s air yards. Any such utilization on an offense…nearly as good because the Saints…goes to present us large names within the close to future.

New York Giants

Malik Nabers noticed the fifth-most targets (18) for a rookie prior to now 30 years

Nabers noticed a decent seven targets in Week 1 and caught 5 balls for 66 yards. Daniel Jones understood the project in Week 2 and seemed Nabers’ approach on a surprising 64 % of his throws.

https://x.com/Doug_Analytics/standing/1835424498222264613

This comically excessive utilization gained’t proceed, but it surely does level us within the path of Nabers sitting on the prime of the WR2 ranks.

New York Jets

Mike Williams ran a route on 73 % of the Jets’ dropbacks

Williams barely performed in Week 1. He suffered a torn ACL early within the 2023 season and the Jets had been understandably easing him again into the lineup. That course of seems practically full as he earned a full-time function final week. He was additionally faraway from the damage report completely heading into Week 3. Williams is price an add if he hit the waiver wire after his gradual begin.

Philadelphia Eagles

Devonta Smith noticed 62 % of the Eagles’ air yards

That will have been Smith’s second-highest mark of the 2023 season. He was on the receiving finish of 38 % of Jalen Hurts’ move makes an attempt. A.J. Brown is more likely to miss a number of weeks due to a hamstring damage. Smith is locked in for WR1 numbers till he returns.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren led the Steelers’ operating backs in routes

Warren logged a 29 % snap share in Week 1 and noticed simply two carries. He upped these numbers to 45 % and 9 whereas additionally main the staff in routes (11). Cordarrelle Patterson was nearly completely phased out of the sport.

San Francisco 49ers

George Kittle has averraged 19.6 PPR factors per sport with Deebo Samuel out of the lineup over the previous two seasons

Deebo is predicted to overlook a couple of weeks with a calf damage. Christian McCaffrey, as you’ll have heard, is on injured reserve. Kittle’s splits with out Samuel obtainable are off the charts.

Arguably a very powerful be aware for this cut up is the goal improve. His 5.4 goal per sport tempo with Deebo would have put him at fifteenth amongst tight ends final yr. His tempo with out Deebo—7.3 targets per sport—would have been good for fifth.

Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba led the Seahawks with 13 first-read targets

JSN accounted for 45 % of Geno Smith’s first-read makes an attempt. He set profession highs in:

• Targets – 16
• Receptions – 12
• Yards – 117
• Goal share – 38 %

The Seahawks let it rip with a move price 12 % over anticipated and three receivers on the sphere for 88 % of their passing performs versus the Patriots.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rachaad White ranks forty seventh within the NFL in PFF run grade and rush yards over anticipated per carry

White is now anticipated to play by way of a groin damage he suffered in Week 2. White remains to be seeing the entire high-value touches. He has seven receptions and two carries contained in the five-yard line. Rookie Bucky Irving has zero of each. However White’s horrific effectivity metrics courting again to his rookie season are a priority for his workload.

Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard ranks seventh within the NFL in yards after contact per carry (3.9).

Pollard can be top-10 in missed tackles compelled per try. His 1.53 yards per route run is the second-best mark of his profession. Tyjae Spears was speculated to get extra concerned within the Tennessee offense in Week 2 however suffered an ankle damage. Spears has already mentioned he’ll play by way of the difficulty, but it surely might forestall his workload from rising in Week 3. Pollard, who’s dominating the carries for Tennessee and now appears again to kind, is shifting up the RB2 ranks.

Washington Commanders

Terry McLaurin has seen 67 % of his targets inside 10 yards of the road of scrimmage

McLaurin was seeing quick targets at a 52 % clip final yr and a 48 % clip within the prior season. McLaurin is seeing fewer air yards on a low-volume offense that converts dropbacks to move makes an attempt at a particularly low price.

https://x.com/PFF_Moo/standing/1836063967728329149

Jayden Daniels ought to settle in and enhance his passing output because the season goes on, but it surely’s onerous to see how McLaurin pays off his ADP at this tempo.