I discussed within the Week 3 article that as we progress additional into the fantasy soccer season, our “make or break” choices will get spicier. We’re all in search of that Jauan Jennings-type of magical begin that carries us to victory, and to make these daring begins, we’ve to make tough decisions with our conventional starters.
With key accidents piling up and offensive inconsistencies throughout the league, this week is shaping as much as be one the place even essentially the most promising matchups might go away fantasy managers annoyed. Which gamers will elevate your lineup or go away you scrambling for factors?
Rome Odunze, WR, Chicago Bears
Odunze is coming off the most effective efficiency of his younger profession, ending because the WR7 in half-PPR with six receptions on 11 targets for 112 receiving yards and one landing. Regardless of all of those positives, the query stays — is that this a blip, or is Odunze as a must-start?
There are some things we have to contextualize about this dramatic spike in Odunze’s manufacturing. Caleb Williams threw the ball 52 instances in Week 3 — quantity that is unrealistic to anticipate on an every-week foundation. Additionally, the Week 3 matchup was towards Indianapolis, a protection that has struggled early this season. On high of that, the Bears had been with out Keenan Allen, and his return will inevitably have an effect on the goal share. The truth is that we’re anticipating extra volatility from Odunze shifting ahead.
Will Odunze make or break your lineup in Week 4?
Regardless of the apparent issues, Odunze stays a robust flex possibility in favorable matchups, and that’s actually the important thing on this week’s analysis. Odunze faces an LA Rams’ protection that has been susceptible via the air. Specifically, we must always have a look at the Rams’ defensive matchups in Weeks 1 and three, the place the WR2s on opposing groups had notable performances — Jameson Williams and Jauan Jennings.
If the development continues and this matchup favors the WR2 once more, Odunze could possibly be in line for an additional big efficiency. Enjoying Odunze shouldn’t be with out threat. Chicago’s offense continues to battle, and Allen’s potential return might impression Odunze’s targets. Nonetheless, Odunze has the potential to be a robust contributor to your lineup this week.
J.Okay. Dobbins, RB, Los Angeles Chargers
Dobbins has shot up rankings, boasting a top-20 consensus rating, however Dobbins is a doubtlessly dangerous play in Week 4 because of matchup and workforce circumstances. Justin Herbert is coping with an harm, which creates a multi-faceted difficulty for the Chargers.
If Herbert is out or has limitations, the Chargers should lean closely on the bottom recreation, doubtlessly boosting Dobbins’ quantity. Nevertheless, whereas the amount would favor Dobbins, he’d probably undergo in effectivity and goal-line alternatives. To make issues even worse, the matchup is an absolute nightmare towards a Kansas Metropolis protection that has shut down working backs all season.
Will Dobbins make or break your lineup in Week 4?
Dobbins is a troublesome name this week. The uncertainty round Herbert makes this one of many extra ambiguous begin/sit selections. Dobbins’ historical past suggests he could possibly be definitely worth the threat, however it is best to tread calmly in such a risky state of affairs. The Chiefs have shut down Derrick Henry and Bijan Robinson, holding each to underneath 50 dashing yards. Dobbins’ manufacturing could possibly be a significant difficulty this week.
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Kenneth Walker & Zach Charbonnet, RBs, Seattle Seahawks
As a result of we probably received’t know the standing of Walker by the discharge of this text, I’m dishonest and itemizing each Seattle backs.
Beginning whoever leads the Seattle backfield looks as if a no brainer. Seattle’s output at working again has been wonderful. In Week 1, Walker had over 100 yards and a dashing landing. In Week 2 with Walker out, Charbonnet completed because the RB12 in half-PPR. In Week 3, Charbonnet thrived with 18 carries for 91 yards and two dashing touchdowns, ending because the RB6.
Nevertheless, this week’s matchup towards Detroit is a significant downside. Detroit has been strong throughout the board, however they’ve utterly shut down working backs, permitting the fewest fantasy factors per recreation to the place whereas dealing with high fantasy producers like Kyren Williams and James Conner. They’re permitting a mean of simply 2.76 yards per carry to working backs. Fairly frankly, there isn’t a worse fantasy matchup on the market. We’re confronted with an extremely tough state of affairs of beginning working backs in an ambiguous well being state of affairs with a horrific matchup.
Will Walker and Charbonnet make or break your lineup in Week 4?
I acknowledge that a few of you’ll be able to’t afford to sit down them, however this could possibly be a no-win state of affairs due to Walker’s potential return this week. Whereas Walker can be anticipated to renew the lead function, the Seahawks would probably restrict his carries in his preliminary return. This might result in a cut up backfield within the worst potential matchup, making any Seattle working again a possible bust for the week. Once more, with working again accidents throughout the league, chances are you’ll not have the luxurious of benching both participant, however for those who can, it’s clever to err on the aspect of warning with these dangerous backs.
Carson Steele, RB, Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
With Isaiah Pacheco out, Steele was the Chiefs’ lead again, and the consequence was constructive total, contemplating it was the undrafted rookie’s first begin. Steele had 17 carries for 72 yards, averaging a strong 4.2 yards per carry.
Sadly, as anticipated, he wasn’t concerned within the passing recreation. So regardless of the wholesome variety of carries, he had just below eight fantasy factors in half-PPR, ending because the RB32. Whereas the fantasy output wasn’t particular, there are some positives. Steele out-snapped Samaje Perine considerably, and if goal-line alternatives come up, Steele would probably be the favourite for these touches. The snap rely alone strikes him up into high-end RB3, borderline RB2 territory.
Will Steele make or break your lineup in Week 4?
Kansas Metropolis faces the Chargers this week. It’s robust to completely assess the Chargers’ protection, provided that their opponents have been the Raiders, the Panthers (Bryce Younger’s Model), and the Steelers — all offenses with limitations. Moreover, there’s the potential involvement of Kareem Hunt to contemplate.
Whereas Hunt isn’t somebody I’d throw right into a fantasy soccer lineup, his presence might additional restrict Steele’s upside, which is already restricted by the shortage of receptions. I’m extraordinarily cautious of utilizing Steele this week and one other sub-10 fantasy level output is the probably final result.
Jerome Ford, RB, Cleveland
Ford began the season with first rate fantasy output in Week 1, showing to be the clear RB1. Nevertheless, in Week 2, Ford noticed a puzzling dip in touches, carrying the ball simply seven instances for 64 yards, whereas D’Onta Foreman had 14 carries for 44 yards.
The touches flipped again in favor of Ford in Week 3, however as soon as once more, the output was disappointing, with simply 8.5 fantasy factors in half PPR. This week, Ford faces a dream matchup towards the Las Vegas Raiders, who rank within the backside 10 for fantasy factors allowed to working backs.
Will Ford make or break your lineup in Week 4?
On paper, this must be a “full go” state of affairs for Ford, however the actuality is we are able to’t belief the Cleveland offense. We will’t even make sure Ford will constantly lead the workforce in carries. To make issues worse, Ford missed apply on Wednesday with a knee harm.
Whereas this matchup appears to be like like the proper alternative for Ford to have a much-needed growth efficiency, there’s a robust likelihood he might ship one other sub-10 fantasy level efficiency. It’s a wild state of affairs the place, regardless of the favorable matchup, Ford might find yourself breaking your lineup.
