Georgia is coming off a bye week following a tenuous 13-12 victory over Kentucky by which they solely earned a 44% win expectancy based mostly on sport play. The Wildcats gained 23 first downs to Georgia’s 12 and out-rushed the Bulldogs 170-to-102 yards. UK goaded Georgia into 9 penalties for 85 yards, whereas the Wildcats themselves dedicated simply 4 penalties for 23 yards together with a pricey fumble. Previous to that hiccup, UGA basted a powerful Clemson crew 34-3 of their opener and fields a 3 protection that’s rated 1st nationally in IsoPPP and Marginal Explosiveness. Whereas nonetheless potent, the offense isn’t hitting dwelling runs on the similar charge they did final 12 months now that McConkey and Bowers have moved on, rating 99th in offensive explosiveness.
The largest problem Alabama has confronted up to now got here from a plucky USF squad that performed the Tide to a 14-13 standstill for 3 quarters earlier than a 28-point This fall Bama explosion put the sport away. New HC Kalen DeBouer simply passes his first Energy 4 check with flying colours, eviscerating Wisconsin 42-10 with QB Jalen Milroe averaging 10.3 yards per try and Alabama out gaining the Badgers 407-to-290 whole yards. The Tide are fielding the third-ranked SP+ offense and sixth-ranked protection, however they’re lagging behind the competitors with a particular groups unit that presently ranks 84th in line with SP+.
We broke down this sport indepth on this week’s episode of Guess the EDGE: The Faculty Soccer Version.
Take heed to the B1G Speak podcast with Todd Blackledge and Noah Eagle for probably the most compelling storylines throughout all of faculty soccer, with the most important groups on the rise and the newest rankings!
Sport Particulars and How you can watch Georgia @ Alabama reside Saturday Night time
· Date: Saturday, September twenty eighth, 2024
· Time: 7:30 PM EST
· Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium
· Metropolis: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
· TV/Streaming: ABC/ESPN+
Wish to take a look at the opposite video games on the Faculty Soccer schedule this week? We’ve bought you lined proper right here on NBC Sports activities with all of the matchup, venue, game-time and TV/streaming information so that you received’t miss any of the motion!
Newest Sport odds for Georgia @ Alabama – Week 5
The most recent odds as of Thursday:
· Moneyline: Georgia -125, Alabama +105
· Unfold: Georgia -1.5
· Whole: 48.5 factors
*odds courtesy of BetMGM
The market opened at Georgia -4.5/-162 and whereas BetMGM is presently at -1.5/-125, the road is exhibiting -2 in some spots. The sport whole has dropped barely from 49.5 at open to 48.5 at time of publishing, and Alabama’s moneyline has decreased from +136 to +105 over the week.
Take heed to the Guess the Edge podcast as hosts Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick present listeners with sharp actionable perception, market evaluation and statistical knowledge to assist bettors achieve extra info earlier than inserting their wagers.
NBC Sports activities Guess Finest Guess
Eric Froton (@CFFroton) likes the guests on this one.
“Whereas each groups have seemed mortal at occasions this season, Alabama/USF and Georgia/Kentucky, there are nits to be picked equally. In what purports to be a coin flip state of affairs like their unforgettable 27-24 tilt within the SEC Championship, I’m banking on the regular hand of Carson Beck over the explosive potential of Jalen Milroe. Give me Georgia -115 Moneyline.”
From the Buying and selling Desk at BetMGM courtesy of John Ewing: Nationwide Championship
Line motion (Final Week to Now)
· Texas +550 to +500
· Alabama +900 to +800
· Tennessee +1600 to +1200
Highest Ticket%
· Ohio State 16.0%
· Texas 11.3%
· Georgia 11.3%
Highest Deal with%
· Ohio State 17.9%
· Georgia 16.1%
· Miami 10.7%
Greatest Liabilities
· Tennessee
· Ohio State
· Miami
Quarterback matchup for Georgia @ Alabama
· Georgia: Carson Beck entered the 2024 season as a Heisman favourite after finishing 72% of his passes for 9.2 yards per try and three,941 passing yards. Beck’s passing yardage ranked as the best single-season mark amongst returning sign callers, he’s been sacked on simply 2% of his go makes an attempt since 2023 and simply as soon as within the fourth quarter, each the third-best marks in FBS. An environment friendly distributor, Beck’s 2.39s common launch time on his passes is the bottom mark amongst returnees. Stetson Bennett’s successor is coming off a lackluster efficiency towards Kentucky by which he produced the bottom single-game NFL passer ranking (81.9) of his profession, so the blueprint to stifle Beck’s effectiveness has been laid out. We’ll see if Alabama can push the pocket and dial up 9 pressures like UK did in Week 3.
· Alabama: Twin-threat QB Jalen Milroe wasn’t requested to throw with the frequency of his Georgia counterpart, uncorking 284 passes in contrast with Beck’s 418, however his 10.0 YPA was second nationally behind solely Heisman profitable QB Jayden Daniels. Milroe’s profession 31-to-12 massive time throw-to-turnover worthy play ratio reveals his respectable arm-talent, along with working for 687 yards and 18 dashing touchdowns relationship again to 2023. The massive knock on Milroe is his troubling profession 31% pressure-to-sack charge, which has dipped barely this season to 25%. HC Kalen DeBouer has mitigated these points by working the ball at a 70% clip on customary downs (eleventh in FBS) with Milroe taking simply 63 dropbacks in three video games this season. Regardless of an ideal 8-to-0 TD/INT ratio, Milroe ranks simply forty fifth in PFF passing grade amongst 133 qualifying FBS quarterbacks.
Participant information & latest stats
· Whereas Georgia RB Trevor Etienne has averaged 6.5 YPC and 4.4 yards after contact in his two video games with UGA, his 3.3 yards per contact common on third downs since 2023 is the bottom amongst beginning SEC working backs, so it will likely be attention-grabbing to see how he’s utilized in that capability going ahead.
· UGA WR Dominic Lovett has secured 10 purple zone receptions relationship again to the start of final season, the second-highest mark within the SEC (eighth in P4) behind solely Missouri famous person WR Luther Burden.
· Alabama is 8-2 ATS when intercepting at the very least one go since 2023, tied for finest amongst P4 packages with Penn State, Tennessee and Arizona. They’re 6-1 ATS when permitting lower than three sacks. Safety was a problem final 12 months although, with the Tide permitting 4+ sacks in seven video games.
· Although there’s a new teaching employees in Tuscaloosa, Bama is undefeated (7-0) in a single rating video games relationship again to the start of final 12 months. Nevertheless they’re 1-6 ATS when changing lower than 50% of their third-down alternatives, 10-worst in FBS.
Faculty Soccer discuss is taking up Guess the Edge each Thursday all through the season. Guess the EDGE is your supply for all issues sports activities betting. Get all of Vaughn Dalzell, Eric Froton, and Brad Thomas’ insights Thursdays at 6AM ET proper right here or wherever you get your favourite podcasts.
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